Bill Simon has dropped out of the race. According to a poll of likely voters conducted by the Los Angeles Times, Bustamante has 35%, Arnold has 22%, and McClintock has 12%. This poll was taken before Simon dropped out (he got 6%, just below Ueberroth with 7%). To say that polling in this new environment is fluid, as the Times does, is an understatement. As you know, previous polls have not agreed with one another, or this one. They all agree that things are fluid, and voter turnout will be the determining factor. Certainly, Arnold is mathematically helped by the Simon withdrawal. Yet, note that this poll offers some good news for Davis, 50% are in favor of his recall, but 45% are opposed.