Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

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Recall Update--Deja Vu All Over Again

Don’t take too seriously Dianne Feinstein’s declaration that she won’t be a candidate to replace Davis. She had to say something immediately to stop the momentum from building to get her on the ballot. Davis’s support is slipping by the day in polls, and Democrats are getting very very nervous.

Davis’s support is slipping because of one of those great coincidences. Notices are arriving in California mailboxes right now infomring people of the tripling of their car registration fees, which Davis brough about a few months ago. It reminds me exactly of Prop. 13 in 1978, which polls showed was neck and neck until about a month before the election, when new property tax assessments landed in mailboxes showing that many people’s property taxes owuld double or even triple. Support for Prop 13 soared immediately after this, and the rest, as they say, is history.

This is among the reasons Davis is so desperate to have the election put off until next March.

If the polls deteriorate further by Friday, expect panicky Democrats to twist Feinstein’s arm at the last minute; she can run saying she is against the recall, but can’t run the risk that the GOP will take the governorship uncontested.

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