L.A. Times has these numbers, with 96% of the votes counted:
Recall: Yes, 54.2%; No, 45.8%
Schwarzenegger, 47.7%, Bustamante, 32.6%, McClintock, 13.2%
The "no" vote on the recall was higher than I expected, by about five points, and Arnolds victory was larger than I expected, by about three points. And Bustamante got four points more than I expected. So Haywards prediction turned out to be closer to the vote by about two points. Alt was also off by only about two points. So I lose.