There are too many polls out there, and they are all over the map. In some Bush is ahead, and in some he is behind. None of these mean anything yet, in my opinion. Besides, if I were Bush I would want to be behind in February. But this Zogby poll is a bit more interesting than the norm because Zogby is a bit more accurate than the others, and because of the way he divided it, red and blue states. Note this:
" A new poll conducted by Zogby International for The O’Leary Report and Southern Methodist University’s John Tower Center from February 12-15, 2004 of 1,209 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points found that if the election for president were held today, Democrat John Kerry would edge George W. Bush 46% to 45% in the “blue states” – or states won by Al Gore in the 2000 election. In the “red states,” or states won by George W. Bush in 2000, however, Bush wins handily by a 51% to 39% margin."