The Gallup Poll has Bush leading Kerry among likely voters, 50%-47%. Bushs favorable rating of 54% was the highest since April, Kerry 52% was his lowest since January. And then this:
"The presidents job-approval rating, 49%, is lower than Bill Clintons 53% in 1996 or Ronald Reagans 54% in 1984. But it is higher than the ratings scored by recent losing incumbents — George H.W. Bush at 35% in 1992, Jimmy Carter at 32% in 1980.
Matthew Dowd, chief strategist for the Bush campaign, said he is elated by Bushs standing leading up to Mondays convention.
No challenger has ever won going into the incumbents convention behind, he said. Winning challengers Reagan and Clinton had double-digit leads at that point, he said."
Note a few other gems:
• Bush leads Kerry 49%-43% on who would handle Iraq better. Kerry was ahead 48%-47% in a poll Aug. 1 right after the convention.
• Bush leads Kerry 54%-37% on who would handle terrorism better. Kerry was at 41% on Aug. 1.
• Bush leads Kerry 54%-34% on who people say is "a strong and decisive leader." Kerry had halved that lead to 10 points on Aug. 1.
• Bush leads Kerry 51%-43% on who people trust more to handle the responsibilities of commander in chief, the same as before the convention. They were tied 48%-48% in the poll Aug. 1