Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

No Left Turns

Gallup Poll

The Gallup Poll has Bush leading Kerry among likely voters, 50%-47%. Bush’s favorable rating of 54% was the highest since April, Kerry 52% was his lowest since January. And then this:

"The president’s job-approval rating, 49%, is lower than Bill Clinton’s 53% in 1996 or Ronald Reagan’s 54% in 1984. But it is higher than the ratings scored by recent losing incumbents — George H.W. Bush at 35% in 1992, Jimmy Carter at 32% in 1980.

Matthew Dowd, chief strategist for the Bush campaign, said he is elated by Bush’s standing leading up to Monday’s convention.

’No challenger has ever won going into the incumbent’s convention behind,’ he said. Winning challengers Reagan and Clinton had double-digit leads at that point, he said."


Note a few other gems:
• Bush leads Kerry 49%-43% on who would handle Iraq better. Kerry was ahead 48%-47% in a poll Aug. 1 right after the convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-37% on who would handle terrorism better. Kerry was at 41% on Aug. 1.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-34% on who people say is "a strong and decisive leader." Kerry had halved that lead to 10 points on Aug. 1.

• Bush leads Kerry 51%-43% on who people trust more to handle the responsibilities of commander in chief, the same as before the convention. They were tied 48%-48% in the poll Aug. 1

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