Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

No Left Turns

On the difficulty of making predictions

This article by Andy Busch makes an even dozen he has written on midterm elections for us. They are full of interesting information, always thoughtful, and always lead the reader toward a deeper understanding of American electoral history. I like this one especially. It seems a perfect thing to consider one day before the vote, on why it is so difficult to make predictions. Not that that stops us from making them, of course! Just because we have PhD’s doesn’t mean we can’t guess with the best of them, does it? See our predictions here. To keep track of them all, including the latest polls, let me remind you to go to Real Clear Politics, the best site for politics on the internet (i.e, the planet).

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