Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

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Good news for Hillary, bad news for Democrats

Hillary’s "win" of yesterday seems significant to all of us because our minds are still in the winner take all mode; yet she hasn’t gained on Obama in delegate count, and I don’t think she will by more than a dozen even if she wins Pennsylvania by double digits, which she will. She hasn’t really won anything; the so called wins just give her psyche a boost to press on. She feels better about herself and her prospects, so she will psuh on with even greater vigor.

So, it will go to the convention, and be decided by the superdelegates and Michigan and Florida (which will have to be re-played); the DNC had better decide that now, not nearer the convention. The possibility of mischief and betrayal are huge; and I do not think that Hillary or her people (including her trimmer husband) are statesmen enough to handle all of it without engendering permament ill will of the Obama side. The fact that race is involved in the calculation is not a small point. If blacks in the Democratic Party think they have been taken for granted all these years, what do you think they are going to think if Hillary "takes it away" from him now? There will be so many deals cut before all this is over (including the VP slot) that we will not be able to count them all. The scenario of ’68 Chicago convention-blood-in-the-streets-stuff is an underestimation of what will happen in Denver and following. Hillary will not give in now under any circumstances and she will have no regard to the consequences to the party she has been using as a vehicle for her success. If there were elder statesmen in the party, people with real authority, who could step in and work it out, that would be another thing, but there aren’t. They are all partisans without standing or trimmers without principle. The Democratic Party will teeter on a precipice of anarchy because they forgot (or never knew) that forming a majority is not merely a problem in adding numbers.

Discussions - 4 Comments

I agree that this is all going to get very ugly for Democrats. Ironic that the party with little-d democracy in its name may let little-d democracy damn near destroy it before the summer is over.

Peter may be right, but absent some scandal coming out of Chicago that sinks Obama, I think the action shifts to the superdelegates and discussions behind the scenes. They're professionals; they can count and they know they stand to lose big-time if the story unfolds as Peter Schramm fears (and as those more ideological than Peter hope). Hillary this morning seems to think that such discussion can produce a Hillary-Obama ticket. I think deal-making can produce only an Obama-Hillary ticket. The alternative is a nominiation not worth much in the general election.

While all this goes on we have a trial in Chicago, and we'll have lots of negative advertising. And, and: we have a John McCain setting the stage with the great skill and elan he showed last evening.

If there were elder statesmen in the party, people with real authority, who could step in and work it out, that would be another thing, but there aren’t. They are all partisans without standing or trimmers without principle.

Sen. Ted Kennedy: "Hillary, would you mind going for a ride with me?"

are statesmen enough to handle all of it without engendering permanent ill will of the Obama side.

That's the truth. I just heard Geraldine Ferraro on National Pagan Radio and boy, it was all too hell with voting, let the super delegates "lead" with Hillary of course. Ouch!

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