Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

No Left Turns

As Ohio goes....

This WaPo article describes the results of a poll showing Barack Obama leading John McCain in Ohio.

These numbers could be turned around, but the strategy for doing so--making Obama himself the issue--is high-risk, with little margin for error and no more (perhaps even less) prospect for success.

Discussions - 2 Comments

Unless I am missing something, these polls that account registered voters are historically unreliable. The WaPo poll has both registered and likely. I would like to know how the likely voters pan out. But this poll seems to take it to a whole other level by counting a few respondents who are not even registered!


While I have no doubt Obama is leading, these polls likely mislead as to by how much.


While I agree with Joe that the McCain negative is risky, it is not without precedent. It seems to be the only option open to him. This election has many elements of '76.

I don't know why any serious polling agency would ever poll "registered voters" rather than likely voters unless it is laziness or an attempt to inflate Democratic numbers. Maybe I just answered my own question...

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