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A Dissenting View on the 2010 Midterms

In the interest of equal time (because, hey, she might be right) Froma Harrop suggests that it is way too early to be speculating about likely outcomes in the 2010 midterm elections.  Of course, this won't keep anyone from doing it.  Including her . . . in this article!  
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Discussions - 3 Comments

The American voters are a fickle lot.

I think it far from even likely Republicans will make significant gains come November. Lots of reasons for that -- lack of leadership, resistance from entrenched Republican interests, MSM that will throw everything behind preserving majorities, etc.

But perhaps the more fundamental reason is that the conservative message is more challenging for most to accept. First, it requires a bit of thought. Second, it represents a bit of a personal challenge to the voter. Third, the liberal message of cheap-grace is alluring to the selfish impulse in all of us.

I love Harrop's kicker: "Democrats could lose big on Nov. 2, 2010. Or, perhaps they won't." She forgot to add (perhaps because she says it in so many words in the first couple of paragraphs): "One thing's for certain, it's too early to tell."

Much hinges on the independents, and they are a fickle lot indeed. But I think we can safely predict two things: Republicans will surge in the House (without necessarily retaking it) and deprive the Democrats of their 60 votes in the Senate. I'll even go out on a limb and predict that Harry Reid retires this time next year.

I do not understand Harrop as expressing a dissent. She seems to be echoing the common political voice. Julie, were you pointing to her as an example of the "blah, blah, blah" political writers seem to feel obliged to offer as punditry these days?

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