Peter has been gone from California a long time. Also, I recall some past Peter predictions:
1) Mike Antonivich would win the 1986 GOP Senate primary. (He finished a distant third or fourth, almost in single digits, as I recall).
Reagan would get 62% of the vote in 1984. (Not too far off: he got 59%).
Wasnt there a Bush landslide in 2000 predicted? I cant recall. Anyway, to all you Ashbrookians, take Peters money, I say.
My prediction: recall and Arnold win, but by narrower margins. Ill say 54% for recall; 38% for Arnold.
Not sure I care enough to bet but I have predicted on my humble site that the recall will pass 55-45 and that Arnold will be +7 on Bustamante.