Strategic Vision has Bush ahead in Ohio by 10 points (52-42), and has Kerry up by 4 only points in New Jersey. The Boston Globe reports that the Kerry campaign is looking more and more toward Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota, and less and less toward Ohio, for example. In short, they are conceding Ohio, in my opinion. Or, to put it more dcelicately: "In short, Kerry is no longer expanding into Republican turf as much as he is defending his own." Also note that the AP is reporting: "Sen. John Kerry on Tuesday hired Bill Clinton’s former press secretary, Mike McCurry, adding yet another adviser who worked for the two-time Democratic presidential winner." Oh, and one more thing: Gallup has Bush up in Wisconsin by 4 points, 49-45%. And then there is yet one more. In Pennsylvania Rassmussen has Bush up by 1 point, 49-48. That’s a shift of 5 points.
How can the AP refer to Clinton as "the two-time Democratic presidential winner"? He won less than 50% of the popular vote in both ’92 and ’96, and Al Gore assured me that 50% is the touchstone for democratic legitimacy. Oh, wait: Gore didn’t get there either.
But wait! Kennedy is coming out of his bottle to actively campaign for Kerry! Isn’t he like totally popular in states that the Dems are worried about?