Ohio poll
Posted by Peter W. Schramm
Columbus Dispatch conducts what seems to me to be a very serious poll (conducted "almost entirely" before the first debate; off only plus or minus 2%; you can see details by noting the box on the right). It finds that Bush leads in Ohio, 51-44%. And it’s the first time in the four Dispatch Polls during the campaign that Bush has won support from a majority of respondents.
7:13 PM / October 4, 2004
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Bush will win Ohio easily. What Kerry really needs now are some high-profile Ohio Democrats to campaign for him. Unfortunately, there aren’t any. The only one of note is Cleveland mayor Jane Campbell, and she is notable only for squandering the city’s funds on an oversized, overpayed staff, while laying of police, firemen, and teachers.
You mean that Dennis "I was Pro-Life before I Sold My Soul and Ran for the Democratic Presidential Nomination" Kuchinich is not high-profile?
Ok Ohio is nailed down and the latest Fla polls by Rasmussen and Survey USA have Bush up by 4 and 5 % there respectively. So can someone show the Kerry path to the Electoral College promise land? Plus Wisconsin is Red territory right now, Iowa too and Mich and Minn and NJ and Pa all are showing dead heats.
Seems to me that the debate may have been a masking agent and we could soon return to a DNC suicide watch.
I also heard a rumor that a new poll in Fla had Martinez up in the Senate race and that Burr had closed in NC to a 2 % diff and is on the offensive with momentum. Add in John Thune up in SD. It could be quite a celebration on election night. 56 senators is not 60 but its close enough that moderate Dems may break with the libs just to get some of their own pet projects across the line.