Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

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Comparing Election 2004 to Election 2000

My staff put together a table comparing the total votes for Bush and the percentage of the vote for Bush in 2000 to 2004 on a state-by-state basis. (Excel version here.)

The result is very interesting and demonstrates how truly significant this victory was for Bush and the GOP as a whole. The short of it is that Bush increased the number of votes that he received in every state but three (Alaska, California, and Washington). Perhaps this isn’t all that surprising given that turnout was generally much higher this year over 2000. However, Bush increased his percentage of the total vote in all but four states as well (South Dakota, Tennessee, Vermont, and Wyoming). His increase in percentage was even quite significant in some blue states (almost +8% in Hawaii, +7.4% in New York, +7% in Rhode Island, +6.2% in New Jersey, etc.). While the election may not have been terribly close in many of these states, it is still significant that Bush was able to increase his support so dramatically in states that he spent little, if any, time campaigning.

Note that many of the 2004 vote totals will probably change somewhat as provisional vote totals are added, but this gives us a general idea for now.

Spend some time pondering this. There will be more to say in the coming weeks.

Discussions - 3 Comments

So this says that he either got a greater percentage of the vote, or more raw votes in all 50 states? Wow.

I find it interesting that, in Alaska and California, while the number of votes garnered in 2004 went down, the percentage of the vote went up. This must mean that overall voter turnout in those two states was actually lower in 2004 than in 2001. Does anyone have any idea why this might be the case?

Bush actually won a larger percentage of the vote in Mass. in 2004 than in 2000? Haven’t seen this in the media. Pretty amazing.

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