Heres our friend Larrys update on the election. It includes nothing we didnt already know. Republican momentum has been reversed by Foley and and the perception of drift in and denial about the situation in Iraq. (Let me add again that the mainstream media is relentless and really good at highlighting these concerns.) Amazingly, the House still isnt lost for sure, although the potential for a Democratic version of 1994 is growing. And though I tend to think that this is a bad year for Repubicans in OH and RI, the news from TN and MO may just be good enough for the Republicans to hold on to the Senate. All this speculation about Roves magic-to-come is silly. I dont see the Republicans having a turnout advantage this year. Reasons for hope: Republicans will use their money efffectively to focus voters on the real issues in the key races. A minor Foley backlash might come from the shameless effort to turn a minor scandal into a national crisis.