Strengthening Constitutional Self-Government

No Left Turns

The Newest Senate Polls

...should fuel both Republican hope and Republican anxiety. MT, VA, MO, and MD are all perfect ties. That’s evidence of R momentusm in MT and MD, but not VA. MO remains stuck in neutral, which might mean the Michael J. Fox impact is insignificant. If the MD study is accurate, Steele is in good shape, given the projection that many African Americans will sit out the race rather than vote for his opponent. Kyl and Corker seem to enjoy significant leads, and perhaps R momentum has returned to both those contests. Based on calculating odds on this data alone, the Rs would probably end up with 51 seats. But no real man would change his prediction based on new facts. In any case, we can hope or fear for a slight surge over the weekend that will turn all these six outcomes one way or the other.

Discussions - 2 Comments

"But no real man would change his prediction based on new facts."

That was truly funny.

Fung, you beat me to the compliment. It’s going to be an interesting few days for us American political animals.

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