A Time/CNN Poll poll released yesterday claims that 54% of voters would recall Davis if the election were held today, and that Arnold would be elected with 25%, to Bustamantes 15%. And Tony Quinn thinks that there is a good chance that Arnold can pull in a lot of Democrats, much like Reagan did. There are many voters out there who are "below-the-screen voters", voters, people who have been alienated from politics, and whose preferences for candidates are hard to determine; but it is almost certainly the case that they would not vote for Davis, or even Bustamente. I would add that the Arnold Democrats could include many, maybe even a majority of Hispanics.
Arnold now appears on the cover of both Time and Newsweek. Here is the Time story on him; worth a quick look. Note his cold relations with the Kennedys. Here is Newsweek. You might as well look at Rush Limbaughs op-ed in The L.A. Times. He explains why this extraordinary effort to recall Davis is perfectly understandable: he has turned the state into a banana republic, Rush argues, and the people are not amused.