offers a thoughtful analysis of the political landscape now before us. He sees a 25-30 year development of trends in our politics that suggest parallels between today and the collapse of the Whig party in the 1850s. While Democrats are not without significant problems of their own as a result of these trends, Olsen suggests that Republicans may have more to lose as a result of them and that complacency in the face of these developments is something well beyond stupid and closer to the verge of self-destructive.
In particular, Olsen notes:
". . . a growing distrust of conservative and liberal ideologies, a growing
movement away from the two parties and toward political independence,
increases in the racial-minority (which usually means
Democratic-voting) share of the population, and a growing inability of
the Republican party to bridge the gap between its populist and elite
2:03 PM / February 9, 2010