Mickey Kaus notes that the Affrican-American community has no particular liking for high levels of immigration, adding, "if that's true, why doesn't the GOP at least try to win over a piece of this most loyal Democratic group? It's a potentially deep fissure that could pry apart the Dems' coalition." The same is true on moral issues. Had Barack Obama not been on the ticket, Prop 8 might not have passed in California. The black community is more pro-life than are many other parts of the Democratic coalition.
Kaus also notes that "It's not clear to me that African-Americans have all that much at stake in the Democrats' obsession with promoting more unionization, in the private sector at least." The key question, it seems to me, in addion to the cultural/ historical issues Lucas noted yesterday, is the percentage of the black middle class that is tied to, or supports the Unions, particularly in the public sector. Public sector jobs used to be disproportionately important to the black community. If that's still the case, I don't think that there's much chance of returning a large percentage of black voters to the party of Lincoln in the near future. In the near future, with more and more people noting that the average pay in government jobs is higher than private sector jobs (at least at the federal level--if one includes benefits, the numbers are higher), the issue of public sector unions is going to be increasingly important.