The fact that Bush and Blair have scheduled a meeting for January 31st (at Camp David) indicates that the threat of action will be taken seriously at about the assumed time. Of course, it still might be argued that the threat of the war will make some (surprising) things happen without war. The meeting is scheduled for three days after the Presidents State of the Union talk and four days after the Security Council meeting with the weapons inspectors. In short, crunch time.
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